Prediction of Cholera Dynamics in Haiti Following the Passage of Hurricane Matthew

Hdl Handle:
http://hdl.handle.net/10144/618789
Title:
Prediction of Cholera Dynamics in Haiti Following the Passage of Hurricane Matthew
Authors:
Camacho, A; Cohuet, S; Grandesso, F; Luquero, F; Lynch, E; Pasetto, D; Finger, F; Bertuzzo, E; Rinaldo, A
Journal:
Infoscience
Abstract:
Following the landfall of Hurricane Matthew in Haiti on October 3, 2016, an increase of suspected cholera cases was reported in both the southern part of the island (with Grande-Anse and Le Sud departments reporting 1349 and 1533 cases respectively between 5 October and 6 November) and also in the capital, Port-au-Prince (438 cases reported over the same period). The hurricane caused the displacement of about 175,000 people, the vast majority of which remained in their department of origin; however, about 10% appear to have displaced to the capital Port-au-Prince. In this context, a mass OCV vaccination campaign was planned, starting on November 8 and targeting 816,999 individuals in Grande-Anse and Le Sud. The aim of this study is to provide additional information to health actors responding to the post-hurricane cholera outbreak in Haiti. To this end, we calibrated a mechanistic model of cholera transmission on currently available data for Haiti in order to forecast the spatio-temporal dynamics of the cholera epidemic at the departmental level from November 2016 to January 2017. Model outputs have been translated into operational recommendations, with a focus on the scheduled OCV campaign.
Publisher:
Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne
Issue Date:
Dec-2016
URI:
http://hdl.handle.net/10144/618789
Submitted date:
2016-12-21
Language:
en
Appears in Collections:
Other Diseases

Full metadata record

DC FieldValue Language
dc.contributor.authorCamacho, Aen
dc.contributor.authorCohuet, Sen
dc.contributor.authorGrandesso, Fen
dc.contributor.authorLuquero, Fen
dc.contributor.authorLynch, Een
dc.contributor.authorPasetto, Den
dc.contributor.authorFinger, Fen
dc.contributor.authorBertuzzo, Een
dc.contributor.authorRinaldo, Aen
dc.date.accessioned2017-02-17T13:08:06Z-
dc.date.available2017-02-17T13:08:06Z-
dc.date.issued2016-12-
dc.date.submitted2016-12-21-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10144/618789-
dc.description.abstractFollowing the landfall of Hurricane Matthew in Haiti on October 3, 2016, an increase of suspected cholera cases was reported in both the southern part of the island (with Grande-Anse and Le Sud departments reporting 1349 and 1533 cases respectively between 5 October and 6 November) and also in the capital, Port-au-Prince (438 cases reported over the same period). The hurricane caused the displacement of about 175,000 people, the vast majority of which remained in their department of origin; however, about 10% appear to have displaced to the capital Port-au-Prince. In this context, a mass OCV vaccination campaign was planned, starting on November 8 and targeting 816,999 individuals in Grande-Anse and Le Sud. The aim of this study is to provide additional information to health actors responding to the post-hurricane cholera outbreak in Haiti. To this end, we calibrated a mechanistic model of cholera transmission on currently available data for Haiti in order to forecast the spatio-temporal dynamics of the cholera epidemic at the departmental level from November 2016 to January 2017. Model outputs have been translated into operational recommendations, with a focus on the scheduled OCV campaign.en
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherEcole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanneen
dc.titlePrediction of Cholera Dynamics in Haiti Following the Passage of Hurricane Matthewen
dc.identifier.journalInfoscienceen
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