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    Mar 02, 2021
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    The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa.

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    Name:
    Sherrard-Smith et al 2020 The ...
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    Authors
    Sherrard-Smith, E
    Hogan, AB
    Hamlet, A
    Watson, OJ
    Whittaker, C
    Winskill, P
    Ali, F
    Mohammad, AB
    Uhomoibhi, P
    Maikore, I
    Ogbulafor, N
    Nikau, J
    Kont, MD
    Challenger, JD
    Verity, R
    Lambert, B
    Cairns, M
    Rao, B
    Baguelin, M
    Whittles, LK
    Lees, JA
    Bhatia, S
    Knock, ES
    Okell, L
    Slater, HC
    Ghani, AC
    Walker, PGT
    Okoko, OO
    Churcher, TS
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    Issue Date
    2020-08-07
    Submitted date
    2020-10-20
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Journal
    Nature Medicine
    Abstract
    The burden of malaria is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising1. In response, countries are implementing societal measures aimed at curtailing transmission of SARS-CoV-22,3. Despite these measures, the COVID-19 epidemic could still result in millions of deaths as local health facilities become overwhelmed4. Advances in malaria control this century have been largely due to distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs)5, with many SSA countries having planned campaigns for 2020. In the present study, we use COVID-19 and malaria transmission models to estimate the impact of disruption of malaria prevention activities and other core health services under four different COVID-19 epidemic scenarios. If activities are halted, the malaria burden in 2020 could be more than double that of 2019. In Nigeria alone, reducing case management for 6 months and delaying LLIN campaigns could result in 81,000 (44,000-119,000) additional deaths. Mitigating these negative impacts is achievable, and LLIN distributions in particular should be prioritized alongside access to antimalarial treatments to prevent substantial malaria epidemics.
    Publisher
    Nature Research
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10144/619728
    DOI
    10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y
    PubMed ID
    32770167
    Type
    Article
    Other
    Language
    en
    EISSN
    1546-170X
    ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
    10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y
    Scopus Count
    Collections
    COVID-19

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