The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa.
dc.contributor.author | Sherrard-Smith, E | |
dc.contributor.author | Hogan, AB | |
dc.contributor.author | Hamlet, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Watson, OJ | |
dc.contributor.author | Whittaker, C | |
dc.contributor.author | Winskill, P | |
dc.contributor.author | Ali, F | |
dc.contributor.author | Mohammad, AB | |
dc.contributor.author | Uhomoibhi, P | |
dc.contributor.author | Maikore, I | |
dc.contributor.author | Ogbulafor, N | |
dc.contributor.author | Nikau, J | |
dc.contributor.author | Kont, MD | |
dc.contributor.author | Challenger, JD | |
dc.contributor.author | Verity, R | |
dc.contributor.author | Lambert, B | |
dc.contributor.author | Cairns, M | |
dc.contributor.author | Rao, B | |
dc.contributor.author | Baguelin, M | |
dc.contributor.author | Whittles, LK | |
dc.contributor.author | Lees, JA | |
dc.contributor.author | Bhatia, S | |
dc.contributor.author | Knock, ES | |
dc.contributor.author | Okell, L | |
dc.contributor.author | Slater, HC | |
dc.contributor.author | Ghani, AC | |
dc.contributor.author | Walker, PGT | |
dc.contributor.author | Okoko, OO | |
dc.contributor.author | Churcher, TS | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-10-20T20:45:33Z | |
dc.date.available | 2020-10-20T20:45:33Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2020-08-07 | |
dc.date.submitted | 2020-10-20 | |
dc.identifier.pmid | 32770167 | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10144/619728 | |
dc.description.abstract | The burden of malaria is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising1. In response, countries are implementing societal measures aimed at curtailing transmission of SARS-CoV-22,3. Despite these measures, the COVID-19 epidemic could still result in millions of deaths as local health facilities become overwhelmed4. Advances in malaria control this century have been largely due to distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs)5, with many SSA countries having planned campaigns for 2020. In the present study, we use COVID-19 and malaria transmission models to estimate the impact of disruption of malaria prevention activities and other core health services under four different COVID-19 epidemic scenarios. If activities are halted, the malaria burden in 2020 could be more than double that of 2019. In Nigeria alone, reducing case management for 6 months and delaying LLIN campaigns could result in 81,000 (44,000-119,000) additional deaths. Mitigating these negative impacts is achievable, and LLIN distributions in particular should be prioritized alongside access to antimalarial treatments to prevent substantial malaria epidemics. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
dc.publisher | Nature Research | en_US |
dc.rights | With thanks to Nature Research. | en_US |
dc.title | The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa. | en_US |
dc.type | Article | |
dc.type | Other | |
dc.identifier.eissn | 1546-170X | |
dc.identifier.journal | Nature Medicine | en_US |
dc.source.journaltitle | Nature medicine | |
dc.source.volume | 26 | |
dc.source.issue | 9 | |
dc.source.beginpage | 1411 | |
dc.source.endpage | 1416 | |
refterms.dateFOA | 2020-10-21T01:42:58Z | |
dc.source.country | International | |
dc.source.country | International | |
dc.source.country | United States |