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dc.contributor.authorSherrard-Smith, E
dc.contributor.authorHogan, AB
dc.contributor.authorHamlet, A
dc.contributor.authorWatson, OJ
dc.contributor.authorWhittaker, C
dc.contributor.authorWinskill, P
dc.contributor.authorAli, F
dc.contributor.authorMohammad, AB
dc.contributor.authorUhomoibhi, P
dc.contributor.authorMaikore, I
dc.contributor.authorOgbulafor, N
dc.contributor.authorNikau, J
dc.contributor.authorKont, MD
dc.contributor.authorChallenger, JD
dc.contributor.authorVerity, R
dc.contributor.authorLambert, B
dc.contributor.authorCairns, M
dc.contributor.authorRao, B
dc.contributor.authorBaguelin, M
dc.contributor.authorWhittles, LK
dc.contributor.authorLees, JA
dc.contributor.authorBhatia, S
dc.contributor.authorKnock, ES
dc.contributor.authorOkell, L
dc.contributor.authorSlater, HC
dc.contributor.authorGhani, AC
dc.contributor.authorWalker, PGT
dc.contributor.authorOkoko, OO
dc.contributor.authorChurcher, TS
dc.date.accessioned2020-10-20T20:45:33Z
dc.date.available2020-10-20T20:45:33Z
dc.date.issued2020-08-07
dc.date.submitted2020-10-20
dc.identifier.pmid32770167
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10144/619728
dc.description.abstractThe burden of malaria is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising1. In response, countries are implementing societal measures aimed at curtailing transmission of SARS-CoV-22,3. Despite these measures, the COVID-19 epidemic could still result in millions of deaths as local health facilities become overwhelmed4. Advances in malaria control this century have been largely due to distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs)5, with many SSA countries having planned campaigns for 2020. In the present study, we use COVID-19 and malaria transmission models to estimate the impact of disruption of malaria prevention activities and other core health services under four different COVID-19 epidemic scenarios. If activities are halted, the malaria burden in 2020 could be more than double that of 2019. In Nigeria alone, reducing case management for 6 months and delaying LLIN campaigns could result in 81,000 (44,000-119,000) additional deaths. Mitigating these negative impacts is achievable, and LLIN distributions in particular should be prioritized alongside access to antimalarial treatments to prevent substantial malaria epidemics.en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherNature Researchen_US
dc.rightsWith thanks to Nature Research.en_US
dc.titleThe potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa.en_US
dc.typeArticle
dc.typeOther
dc.identifier.eissn1546-170X
dc.identifier.journalNature Medicineen_US
dc.source.journaltitleNature medicine
dc.source.volume26
dc.source.issue9
dc.source.beginpage1411
dc.source.endpage1416
refterms.dateFOA2020-10-21T01:42:58Z
dc.source.countryInternational
dc.source.countryInternational
dc.source.countryUnited States


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